NFL Betting Results & Shocks from Week 4
- Safe Online Gambling
- Sep 29
- 2 min read

🎲 Upsets & Betting Shocks of the Day
Here are some of the wild outcomes that made bettors spit out their coffee:
The Packers vs. Cowboys game ended in a 40-40 OT tie. That’s not just a drama move — for spreads, totals, props, it’s a mess.
Vikings vs. Steelers: Pittsburgh won outright as an underdog. That’s one for the books.
Green Bay @ Dallas: That tied game screwed with everybody who bet the spread or the total — and gave some parlays a hernia.
Chiefs @ Ravens: Patrick Mahomes dropped 4 touchdowns, and KC covered big.
Chicago @ Raiders, Jacksonville @ 49ers, Baltimore @ KC, etc.: Several games where the underdogs covered or totals busted.
So if you had “Packers cover” or “under 46.5 in Dallas,” congratulations — you probably got spanked.
📈 What This Means for Bettors
Ties are the devil. Spread + total bets with ties are among the cruelest outcomes. You think “just one point” never makes or breaks you — then it does.
Underdogs pay in chaos. Whenever the favorite stumbles, that’s where value shows up.
Totals are more volatile. When both teams lean offensive or defensive unpredictably, “over/under” bets swing wild.
Parlays are high risk. A busted leg ruins everything. These upsets remind you: never lean too heavily on 4- or 5-leg parlays unless you accept the pain.
🧠 Lessons I’m Filing Away
Never count a tie out as “close enough.” In betting, it often isn’t.
Watch momentum and matchups — the Steelers win suggests that public narrative and overconfidence in favorites can be your friend as a contrarian.
Use props in these games — sometimes safer to bet on individual stats (TDs, yardage) than team outcomes.
Always keep a small “hedge fund” for last-minute hits (injury, weather, lineup changes) that blow your main bet.
No matter what you have in mind for your bets next week, we recommend signing up for a Bovada account and taking advantage of their signup bonuses!
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