Weekend NFL Preview & Betting Angles

Week 4 promises its share of drama, upsets, and betting lessons. Here’s how I see things, and where the value might lie (with a few caution flags thrown in).

Packers vs. Cowboys (Sunday Night)

• Packers are road favorites as per odds movement.

• The Cowboys are historically tough at home, but Green Bay’s defense might disrupt them. The return of Micah Parsons expect both sides trying to make a statement.

• Lean: Packers — cover (if line stays reasonable), however with the added drama of a Parsons return and the Cowboys looking to recover from an embarassing loss, this one might be worth avoiding.

• Watch out: Line might blow out; if it gets too steep, value might diminish.

Vikings vs. Steelers (in Dublin, Ireland)

• Neutral field dynamics — no true home crowd.

• Vikings favored by ~1.5 per odds boards.

• Steelers have home underdog ATS history.

• Lean: Vikings straight, but cautious on the spread (could be a tight game).

• Prop idea: Aaron Rodgers (or whoever starts) under passing yardage line.

Other Pickups / Value Spots

• Chargers vs. Giants — Chargers are unbeaten, should cover vs. a struggling Giants squad and any props on Herbert are likely safe.

• Eagles vs. Buccaneers — Eagles are slight favorites. If their offense hums, this could beat the spread. Ignore the stories about the signing of a Frigidaire Double Door freezer to stop the tush push - Bowles said he's not likely to play.

• Bills vs. Saints — Huge spread: Bills favored by ~14. If Saints keep it respectable, the underdog cover might be interesting.

• Commanders vs. Falcons - With the Commanders line moving toward the Falcons favor, this should be a safe bet. Currently ~1.5 favorites, we would be surprised if Washington wins by less than a TD.

• Colts vs Rams - The Colts walk into L.A. as the underdog despite being unbeaten. Don't bet against Daniel Jones with the shoe on his helmet. We are seeing the resurgence of a QB that was given up on too early. Colts all the way.

Naturally, remember this blog is ran by a group of idiots who bring you more humor and political commentary than sports predictions. But that said, we're also precogs so everything said here will absolutely come true. Or it won't.

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