Monday Night Football: Wild Card Edition

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2 days ago
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Texans vs. Steelers — Streaks Are About to Break

Wildcard weekend saving its chaos for Monday night feels intentional.

The Houston Texans roll into Pittsburgh on a nine-game winning streak, carrying the No. 1 defense in football, confidence, and a quarterback who looks very comfortable in big moments.

Meanwhile, the Pittsburgh Steelers bring a streak of their own — six straight postseason losses — which is… not ideal branding.

Something gives tonight.

Houston’s Road Curse (And Why It Might End)

Yes, it has to be mentioned:

The Texans are 0–6 all-time in road playoff games and are the only NFL franchise to never win one.

That sounds scary until you remember:

They’re the newest team in the league
Most of those losses have nothing to do with this roster
Streaks exist to be broken

This version of Houston isn’t playing history — they’re playing matchups.

And the matchup favors them.

Why Houston Is the Right Side

This game has all the ingredients of a low-scoring grinder:

Elite Houston defense
Conservative Pittsburgh offense
Cold-weather, prime-time playoff vibes

Houston’s defense doesn’t just stop teams — it forces patience, and Pittsburgh hasn’t shown they can consistently manufacture long drives.

That’s why Texans -3 feels like the cleanest play on the board. Not flashy. Not aggressive. Just… solid.

Sometimes boring wins you money.

The Metcalf Factor (And Why We’re Fading It)

Yes, DK Metcalf is returning for Pittsburgh.

No, that doesn’t automatically mean production.

This is:

A first game back
Against the best defense in football
In a playoff environment

Rust is real. Matchups matter. And Houston’s secondary doesn’t need help eliminating receivers.

Prop angle:➡️ Fade Metcalf overs Talent doesn’t beat timing and chemistry overnight.

Props We Like Tonight

If you’re playing props instead of sides, here’s where the value shows up:

🏈 C.J. Stroud Passing TDs

Houston doesn’t need explosive drives — just clean ones. Stroud has been surgical, not reckless, and Pittsburgh’s defense has bent plenty this season.

🦵 Kaʻimi Fairbairn Kicking Points

Low-scoring games are kicker games. Red-zone stalls favor Fairbairn, and Houston isn’t afraid to take points.

Field goals cash just as well as touchdowns.

How We’re Playing Monday Night

Texans -3 ✅
Under (lean) — expect points to be earned, not gifted
Fade Metcalf props
Stroud passing TDs
Fairbairn points/FGs

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